胃癌术后早期复发影响因素及预后分析的全国多中心研究

Influencing factors and prognostic analysis of early recurrence after gastrectomy for gastric cancer: a national multicenter study

  • 摘要:
    目的 探讨胃癌术后早期复发的影响因素及预后情况。
    方法 采用回顾性队列研究方法。收集2012年1月至2023年6月复旦大学附属肿瘤医院等全国6家医学中心收治的2 078例行胃癌切除术患者的临床病理资料;男1 449例,女629例;年龄为(59±11)岁。根据患者术后肿瘤复发时间,分为早期和晚期复发。观察指标:(1)不同复发类型胃癌患者临床病理特征比较。(2)复发转移情况。(3)胃癌术后复发患者生存情况。(4)胃癌术后早期复发的影响因素分析。正态分布的计量资料组间比较采用独立样本t检验,偏态分布的计量资料组间比较采用Mann-Whitney U检验。计数资料组间比较采用χ²检验。等级资料组间比较采用秩和检验。采用Logistic回归模型进行多因素分析。采用Kaplan-Meier法计算生存率并绘制生存曲线,Log-rank检验进行生存分析。
    结果 (1)不同复发类型胃癌患者临床病理特征比较。2 078例患者中,早期复发1 452例、晚期复发626例。早期和晚期复发患者术前癌胚抗原、术前CA19-9、术前CA72-4、术前白蛋白、肿瘤长径、新辅助治疗、R0切除、联合脏器切除、胃切除范围、神经脉管浸润、肿瘤分化程度、病理学N分期、病理学TNM分期比较,差异均有统计学意义(P < 0.05)。(2)复发转移情况。2 078例患者中,局部复发200例、血行转移1 213例、远处淋巴结转移392例、腹膜转移731例。1 452例早期复发患者中,局部复发142例、血行转移834例、远处淋巴结转移289例、腹膜转移507例;626例晚期复发患者中,局部复发58例、血行转移379例、远处淋巴结转移103例、腹膜转移224例;同1例患者可合并多种形式的复发、转移,早期与晚期复发患者上述指标比较,差异均无统计学意义(χ²=0.13、1.74、3.40、0.14,P > 0.05)。(3)胃癌术后复发患者生存情况。2 078例患者均随访至复发后死亡,随访时间为31(9~147)个月。早期复发患者复发后1、2、3、5年总生存率分别为33.5%、17.2%、10.1%、3.3%,晚期复发患者复发后1、2、3、5年总生存率分别为44.2%、21.6%、12.8%、5.8%,两者复发后总生存情况比较,差异有统计学意义(风险比=0.84,95%可信区间为0.76~0.92,P < 0.05)。(4)胃癌术后早期复发的影响因素分析。多因素分析结果显示:联合脏器切除、全胃切除、病理学TNM分期Ⅲ期均是胃癌术后早期复发的独立危险因素(优势比=1.31、1.32、1.34,95%可信区间分别为1.01~1.70、1.06~1.65、1.05~1.71,P < 0.05);术前肿瘤标志物正常、新辅助治疗、R0切除均是胃癌术后早期复发的独立保护因素(优势比=0.61、0.50、0.38,95%可信区间分别为0.49~0.76、0.35~0.72、0.25~0.58,P < 0.05)。
    结论 与胃癌术后晚期复发患者比较,早期复发患者预后更差,且以肝转移多见。联合脏器切除、全胃切除、病理学TNM分期Ⅲ期均是胃癌术后早期复发的独立危险因素;术前肿瘤标志物正常、新辅助治疗、R0切除均是胃癌术后早期复发的独立保护因素。

     

    Abstract:
    Objective To investigate the influencing factors and prognosis of early recurrence after gastrectomy for gastric cancer.
    Methods The retrospective cohort study was conducted. The clinicopathological data of 2 078 patients who underwent gastrectomy for gastric cancer at six medical centers across China, including Fudan University Shanghai Cancer Center et al, between January 2012 and June 2023 were collected. There were 1 449 males and 629 females, aged (59±11) years. Patients were classified as early recurrence and late recurrence based on the time of post-operative recurrence. Observation indicators: (1) comparison of clinicopathological characteristics between gastric cancer patients with different recurrence types; (2) recurrence and metastasis of tumor; (3) survival of patients after postoperative recurrence of gastric cancer; (4) analysis of influencing factors for early recurrence after gastrectomy for gastric cancer. Comparison of measurement data with normal distribution between groups was conducted using the independent sample t test. Comparison of measurement data with skewed distribution between groups was conducted using the Mann-Whitney U test. Comparison of count data between groups was conducted using the chi-square test. Comparison of ordinal data between groups was conducted using the rank sum test. Multivariate analysis was conducted using the Logistic regression model. Kaplan-Meier method was used to calculate survival rate and plot survival curve, and Log-rank test was used for survival analysis.
    Results (1) Comparison of clinicopathological characteristics between gastric cancer patients with different recurrence types. Among the 2 078 patients, 1 452 cases had early recurrence and 626 cases had late recurrence. There were significant differences in preoperative carcinoembryonic antigen, preoperative CA19-9, preoperative CA72-4, preoperative albumin, tumor diameter, neoadjuvant therapy, R0 resection, combined organ resection, scope of gastric resection, nerve and vessel infiltration, degree of tumor differentiation, pathological N staging, pathological TNM staging between early and late recurrence patients (P < 0.05). (2) Recurrence and metastasis of tumor. Among the 2 078 patients, 200 cases had local recurrence, 1 213 cases had hematogenous metastases, 392 cases had distant lymph node metastases, and 731 cases had peritoneal metastases. Among the 1 452 early recurrence patients, 142 cases had local recurrence, 834 cases had hematogenous metastases, 289 cases had distant lymph node metastases, and 507 cases had peritoneal metastases. Among the 626 late recurrence patients, 58 cases had local recurrence, 379 cases had hematogenous metastases, 103 cases had distant lymph node metastases, and 224 cases had peritoneal metastases. One patient may have multiple forms of recurrence and metastasis. There was no significant difference in the above indica-tors between early and late recurrence patients (χ²=0.13, 1.74, 3.40, 0.14, P > 0.05). (3) Survival of patients after postoperative recurrence of gastric cancer. All 2 078 patients were followed up until death after recurrence, with a follow-up time of 31(range, 9‒147)months. The 1-, 2-, 3-, and 5-year overall survival rates after recurrence were 33.5%, 17.2%, 10.1%, and 3.3% in early recurrence patients, versus 44.2%, 21.6%, 12.8%, and 5.8% in late recurrence patients, respectively, showing a significant difference in overall survival after recurrence between the two groups (hazard ratio=0.84, 95% confidence interval as 0.76‒0.92, P < 0.05). (4) Analysis of influencing factors for early recurrence after gastrectomy for gastric cancer. Results of multivariate analysis showed that combined organ resection, total gastrectomy, pathological TNM staging as stage Ⅲ were independent risk factors for early recurrence after gastrectomy for gastric cancer (odds ratio=1.31, 1.32, 1.34, 95% confidence interval as 1.01‒1.70, 1.06‒1.65, 1.05‒1.71, P < 0.05) and normal preoperative tumor markers, neoadjuvant therapy, R0 resection were independent protective factors for early recurrence (odds ratio=0.61, 0.50, 0.38, 95% confidence interval as 0.49‒0.76, 0.35‒0.72, 0.25‒0.58, P < 0.05).
    Conclusions Compared with patients with late recurrence after gastric cancer surgery, patients with early recurrence have a poor prognosis, in which liver metastases is more common. Combine organ resection, total gastrectomy, pathological TNM staging as stage Ⅲ are independent risk factors for early recurrence, and normal preoperative tumor markers, neoadjuvant therapy, R0 resection are independent protective factors for early recurrence after gastrectomy for gastric cancer.

     

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