控制营养状况评分对布‑加综合征患者行经颈静脉肝内门腔内支架分流术后发生显性肝性脑病的预测价值

Predictive value of controlled nutritional status score for overt hepatic encephalopathy after transjugular intrahepatic portosystemic stent-shunt of Budd-Chiari syndrome

  • 摘要:
    目的 探讨控制营养状况(CONUT)评分对布‑加综合征患者行经颈静脉肝内门腔内支架分流术(TIPSS)后发生显性肝性脑病(OHE)的预测价值。
    方法 采用回顾性病例对照研究方法。收集2014年8月至2021年3月郑州大学第一附属医院收治的48例行TIPSS治疗布‑加综合征患者的临床病理资料;男26例,女22例;年龄为(46±13)岁。观察指标:(1)手术和随访情况。(2)TIPSS后发生OHE的影响因素分析。(3)TIPSS后发生OHE的预测情况。正态分布的计量资料以x±s表示,组间比较采用t检验,偏态分布的计量资料以MQ1,Q3)表示,组间比较采用Mann‑Whitney U检验。计数资料以绝对数表示,组间比较采用χ²检验或Fisher确切概率法。多因素分析采用Logistic回归模型前进法。绘制受试者工作特征(ROC)曲线并计算曲线下面积进行效能评价,曲线下面积间比较采用Delong检验。
    结果 (1)手术和随访情况。48例患者顺利完成TIPSS,手术时间为(131±29)min。所有患者植入8 mm支架。48例患者均获得随访,随访时间为46(25,71)个月,其中14例患者术后发生OHE,34例患者未发生OHE。14例发生OHE患者中,West‑Haven分级2级12例,3级2例。(2)TIPSS后发生OHE的影响因素分析。多因素分析结果显示:有肝性脑病史、CONUT评分是布‑加综合征患者行TIPSS后发生OHE的独立影响因素(优势比=8.36,1.74,95%可信区间为1.02~68.75,1.12~2.69,P<0.05)。(3)TIPSS后发生OHE的预测情况。ROC结果显示:CONUT评分、肝功能Child⁃Pugh评分、整合终末期肝病模型评分预测TIPSS后发生OHE的曲线下面积分别为0.77(95%可信区间为0.64~0.91,P<0.05)、0.71(95%可信区间为0.56~0.87,P<0.05)、0.71(95%可信区间为0.53~0.88,P<0.05)。CONUT评分的曲线下面积分别与肝功能Child‑Pugh评分、整合终末期肝病模型评分比较,差异均无统计学意义(Z=0.84,0.59,P>0.05)。CONUT评分预测TIPSS后发生OHE的最佳临界值为7分,灵敏度为78.6%,特异度为61.8%,约登指数为0.40。
    结论 CONUT评分可用于预测布‑加综合征患者行TIPSS后OHE的发生情况,其区分度与肝功能Child‑Pugh评分及整合终末期肝病模型评分相当。

     

    Abstract:
    Objective To investigate the predictive value of controlled nutritional status (CONUT) score for overt hepatic encephalopathy (OHE) after transjugular intrahepatic portosys-temic stent-shunt (TIPSS) in Budd-Chiari syndrome patients.
    Method The retrospective case-control study was conducted. The clinicopathological data of 48 Budd-Chiari syndrome patients who underwent TIPSS in the First Affiliated Hospital of Zhengzhou University from August 2014 to March 2021 were collected. There were 26 males and 22 females, aged (46±13)years. Observation indicators: (1) surgical situations and follow-up; (2) analysis of influencing factors of OHE after TIPSS; (3) predic-tion of OHE after TIPSS. Measurement data with normal distribution were represented as Mean±SD, and comparison between groups was performed using the t test. Measurement data with skewed distribution were represented by M(Q1,Q3), and comparison between groups was performed using the Mann-Whitney U test. Count data were expressed as absolute numbers or percentages, and comparison between groups was performed using the chi-square test or Fisher exact probability. Multivariate analysis was performed using the Logistic regression model with forward method. The receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve was drawn and the area under the curve (AUC) was calculated to evaluate the efficacy. Comparison among AUC was performed using the Delong test.
    Results (1) Surgical situations and follow-up. All 48 patients underwent TIPSS successfully, and the operation time of the 48 patients was (131±29)minutes. All patients were implanted with 8 mm covered stent. All 48 patients were followed up for 46(25,71)months, and there were 14 cases with OHE and 34 cases without OHE after TIPSS. Of the 14 cases with OHE, 12 cases were evaluated as West-Haven Ⅱ grade and 2 cases were evaluated as West-Haven Ⅲ grade. (2) Analysis of influencing factors of OHE after TIPSS. Results of multivariate analysis showed that history of hepatic encephalo-pathy and CONUT score were independent factors influencing the incidence of OHE of Budd-Chiari syndrome patients who underwent TIPSS (odds ratio=8.36, 1.74, 95% confidence interval as 1.02‒68.75, 1.12‒2.69, P<0.05). (3) Prediction of OHE after TIPSS. Results of ROC curve showed that the AUC of the CONUT score, the Child-Pugh score of liver function and the integrated model of end-stage liver disease (iMELD) score in predicting the incidence of OHE after TIPSS was 0.77(95% confidence interval as 0.64‒0.91, P<0.05), 0.71(95% confidence interval as 0.56‒0.87, P<0.05) and 0.71(95% confidence interval as 0.53‒0.88, P<0.05), respectively, and there was no significant difference between the AUC of the CONUT score and the Child-Pugh score of liver function or the iMELD score (Z=0.84, 0.59, P>0.05). The optimal cutoff value of CONUT score in predicting the incidence of OHE after TIPSS was 7, with the sensitivity, specificity and Yodon index as 78.6%, 61.8% and 0.40, respectively.
    Conclusion The CONUT score can be used to predict the incidence of OHE in Budd-Chiari syndrome patients who underwent TIPSS, and the discrimination of CONUT score is equivalent to the Child-Pugh score of liver function and the iMELD score.

     

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