术前腹部脂肪测定对肝细胞癌切除术后早期复发的预测价值

Predictive value of preoperative abdominal adipose tissue measurement for early recurrence after resection of hepatocellular carcinoma

  • 摘要:
    目的 探讨术前腹部脂肪测定对肝细胞癌切除术后早期复发的预测价值。
    方法 采用回顾性病例对照研究方法。收集2018年1月至2020年1月国内2家医学中心收治的238例(重庆医科大学附属第一医院46例、陆军军医大学第一附属医院192例)肝细胞癌行外科手术切除患者的临床病理资料;男207例,女31例;年龄为51(48,65)岁。患者术前均行腹部CT和(或)MRI检查。观察指标:(1)腹部脂肪测定情况。(2)随访情况。(3)肝细胞癌切除术后早期复发的影响因素分析。(4)肝细胞癌切除术后早期复发的预测。采用门诊和电话方式进行随访,了解患者术后生存情况。随访时间截至2022年2月。正态分布的计量资料以x±s表示,组间比较采用t检验;偏态分布的计量资料以M(范围)或MQ1,Q3)表示,组间比较采用Mann‑Whitney U检验。计数资料以绝对数或百分比表示,组间比较采用χ²检验。单因素分析根据资料类型选择对应的统计学方法。多因素分析采用Logistic回归模型前进法。绘制受试者工作特征曲线(ROC),采用曲线下面积进行效能评价。
    结果 (1)腹部脂肪测定情况。238例患者中,139例术后早期复发和99例无早期复发患者的腹部总脂肪、内脏脂肪、皮下脂肪、总脂肪指数、内脏脂肪指数、皮下脂肪指数分别为292(198,355)cm2、153(99,194)cm2、128(95,154)cm2、106(76,130)cm2/m2、(57±27)cm2/m2、46(34,58)cm2/m2和174(114, 251)cm2、78(50,110)cm2、88(55,127)cm2、64(42,91)cm2/m2、(30±16)cm2/m2、31(19,46)cm2/m2,两者上述指标比较,差异均有统计学意义(Z=-7.39、-7.87、-5.03、-7.25,t=-9.46,Z=-5.00,P<0.05)。(2)随访情况。238例患者均按计划进行随访。238例患者生存时间为26(8,44)个月,139例术后早期复发和99例无早期复发患者的生存时间分别为11(5,18)个月和36(32,43)个月。(3)肝细胞癌切除术后早期复发的影响因素分析。单因素分析结果显示:体质量指数、总脂肪、内脏脂肪、皮下脂肪、总脂肪指数、内脏脂肪指数、皮下脂肪指数是影响肝细胞癌切除术后早期复发的相关因素(t=-5.88,Z=-7.39、-7.87、-5.03、-7.25,t=-9.46,Z=-5.00,P<0.05)。多因素分析结果显示:内脏脂肪指数是肝细胞癌切除术后早期复发的独立影响因素(优势比=1.06,95%可信区间为1.04~1.08,P<0.05)。(4)肝细胞癌切除术后早期复发的预测。根据多因素分析结果,ROC结果显示:内脏脂肪指数的曲线下面积为0.80(95%可信区间为0.75~0.86,P<0.05),灵敏度为75.5%,特异度为71.7%。
    结论 内脏脂肪指数是肝细胞癌切除术后早期复发的独立影响因素,随着内脏脂肪指数升高,早期复发风险增大。

     

    Abstract:
    Objective To investigate the predictive value of preoperative abdominal adipose tissue measurement for early recurrence after resection of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC).
    Methods The retrospective case-control study was conducted. The clinicopathological data of 238 patients with HCC who underwent surgical resection from January 2018 to January 2020 in 2 medical centers in China were collected, including 46 cases in the First Affiliated Hospital of Chongqing Medical University and 192 cases in the First Affiliated Hospital of Army Medical University. There were 207 males and 31 females, aged 51(48,65)years. All patients underwent abdominal computed tomography (CT) and/or magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) before surgery. Observation indicators: (1) measure-ment of abdominal adipose tissue; (2) follow-up; (3) analysis of influencing factors for early recurrence after resection of HCC; (4) prediction of early recurrence after resection of HCC. Follow-up was conducted by outpatient examinations and telephone interview to detect the postoperative survival of patients up to February 2022. Measurement data with normal distribution were represented as Mean±SD, and comparison between groups was performed by the t test. Measurement data with skewed distribution was represented by M(range) or M(Q1,Q3), and comparison between groups was performed by the Mann-Whitney U test. Count data were expressed as absolute numbers or percen-tages, and the chi-square test was used for comparison between groups. Univariate analysis was conducted using the corresponding statistical methods based on data type. Multivariate analysis was performed using the Logistic regression model advance method. The receiver operating characteristic curve was drawn, and the area under curve was used to evaluate the efficacy.
    Results (1) Measure-ment of abdominal adipose tissue. Of the 238 patients, the total abdominal adipose tissue, visceral adipose tissue, subcutaneous adipose tissue, total adipose tissue index, visceral adipose tissue index, subcutaneous adipose tissue index were 292(198,355)cm2, 153(99,194)cm2, 128(95,154)cm2, 106(76,130)cm2/m2, (57±27)cm2/m2, 46(34,58)cm2/m2 for 139 patients with early postoperative recur-rence, versus 174(114,251)cm2, 78(50,110)cm2, 88(55,127)cm2, 64(42,91)cm2/m2, (30±16)cm2/m2, 31(19,46) cm2/m2 for 99 patients without early recurrence, respectively, showing significant diffe-rences between them (Z=‒7.39, ‒7.87, ‒5.03, ‒7.25, t=‒9.46, Z=‒5.00, P<0.05). (2) Follow-up. All the 238 patients were followed up according to the plan. The survival time of 238 patients was 26(8,44)months. The survival time was 11(5,18)months for patients with postoperative early recur-rence, versus 36(32,43)months for patients without early recurrence, respectively. (3) Analysis of influencing factors for early recurrence after resection of HCC. Results of univariate analysis showed that body mass index, total adipose tissue, visceral adipose tissue, subcutaneous adipose tissue, total adipose tissue index, visceral adipose tissue index and subcutaneous adipose tissue index were related factors for early recurrence after resection of HCC (t=‒5.88, Z=‒7.39, ‒7.87, ‒5.03, ‒7.25, t=‒9.46, Z=‒5.00, P<0.05). Results of multivariate analysis showed that visceral adipose tissue index was an independent influencing factor for early recurrence after resection of HCC (odds ratio=1.06, 95% confidence interval as 1.04‒1.08, P<0.05). (4) Prediction of early recurrence after resection of HCC. According to the results of multivariate analysis, the receiver operating characteris-tic curve showed that the area under curve of visceral adipose tissue index was 0.80 (95% confidence interval as 0.75‒0.86, P<0.05), with the sensitivity and specificity as 75.5% and 71.7%.
    Conclusions Visceral adipose tissue index is an independent influencing factor for early recurrence after resection of HCC. The risk of early recurrence increases with the increase of visceral adipose tissue index.

     

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