从工业革命(工业1.0)到外科4.0

From industrial revolution (Industry 1.0) to Surgery 4.0

  • 摘要: 外科1.0到外科4.0这一类名词均源自“工业4.0”。2011年德国汉诺威工业博览会提出工业4.0。18世纪工业革命起源于英国,其工业发展有4个重要阶段,分别被称为工业1.0、工业2.0、工业3.0和工业4.0,每个发展阶段均有重要科学发明和应用推广。基于工业发展的4个阶段,2018年Hooshair A首先提出外科发展从外科1.0到外科4.0的概念,与工业发展一致。虽然两者发展时间不同,但均以重大科学发现为基础。21世纪初标志着进入外科4.0,5个重要的科学成果包括大数据、人工智能、自动化、现代机器人、5G通讯,推动外科4.0的发展。20年间各环节发展均十分迅速,每个环节的发展均带动另一环节的需求,环环相扣,呈现一个急速向上发展的良性循环。笔者预测:外科4.0仍会迅速再发展,从环环相扣式发展变为不同环节融合发展和整体科技融合发展,进而到达外科5.0。在外科4.0起步时期预测外科5.0将会来临貌似具有野心, 但笔者肯定这是科学发展的必然趋势,外科5.0不但会到临,还会在不远的将来到临。

     

    Abstract: The terms “Surgery 1.0” to “Surgery 4.0” came from the term “Industry 4.0”. In 2011, the German Government at the Hannover Messe introduced the term “Industry 4.0” to describe the four stages of industrial developments: Industrial revolution, which happened in England in the 18th century, was considered as “Industry 1.0”. The beginning of “Industry 1.0” and the subsequent developments into “Industry 2.0”, “Industry 3.0” and “Industry 4.0” were all based on important scientific discoveries at those material time periods. In 2018, Hooshair A first introduced the concept of similar developments from “surgery 1.0” to “surgery 4.0”. Similar to industrial developments, these stages of surgical developments were based on important scientific discoveries, although the time periods of developments of these surgical stages were slightly different from those of the industrial developmental stages. “Surgery 4.0” started at the beginning of the 21st century. Its development is based on the scientific advances in big data, artificial intelligence, automation, modern robots and 5G technology. Within a short period of 20 years, each of these scientific discoveries has rapidly progressed. As each of these developments leads to increase in demand of another one, this leads to a virtuous cycle with rapid developments in all these individual scientific discoveries. Is there any room for further development of “Surgery 4.0”? The authors predict that there will be a rapid development into “Surgery 5.0” by integrating these discoveries. Instead of individual and rapid development of each of the scientific advances, these advances will integrate into a single system with further fast and rapid growth. It is ambitions for the authors to make such a prediction when “Surgery 4.0” is still at an developmental stage. However the authors are confident that “surgery 5.0” will not only come, but it will come within a reasonably short time, as this is the natural development of science.

     

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