Abstract:
Objective:To investigate the surgical indications of gallbladder polyps.
Methods:The retrospective case-control study was conducted.
The clinicopathological data of 2 272 patients with gallbladder polyps who underwent cholecystectomy in 11 medical centers from January 2015 to December 2019 were collected, including 585 in the First Affiliated Hospital of Xi′an Jiaotong University, 352 in No. 215 Hospital of Shaanxi Nuclear Industry, 332 in the First People′s Hospital of Xianyang, 233 in Shaanxi Provincial People′s Hospital, 152 in the Second Affiliated Hospital of Xi′an Jiaotong University, 138 in Xianyang Hospital of Yan′an University, 137 in People′s Hospital of Baoji, 125 in Hanzhong Central Hospital, 95 in Baoji Central Hospital, 72 in Ankang Central Hospital, 51 in Yulin No.2 Hospital. There were 887 males and 1 385 females, aged (48±12)years, with a range from 12 to 86 years. Observation indicators: (1) surgical treatment, pathological examination and hospitalization; (2) follow-up and complications; (3) comparison of clinicopathological data between patients with non-neoplastic polyps and neoplastic polyps; (4) comparison of clinicopathological data among patients who had gallbladder polyp diameter of 7 to 9 mm, 10 to 12 mm, or ≥13 mm without cholecystolithiasis; (5) analysis of influence factors for the incidence of neoplastic polyps in patients who had gallbladder polyp diameter of 10 to 12 mm without cholecystolithiasis; (6) construction and evaluation of nomogram prediction model for neoplastic polyps of patients who had gallbladder polyp diameter of 10 to 12 mm without cholecystolithiasis. Follow-up using outpatient examination or telephone interview was conducted to detect complications and survival of patients up to April 2020. Measurement data with normal distribution were represented as Mean±SD, and comparison between groups was analyzed using the t test. Measurement data with skewed distribution were represented as M (range), and comparison between groups was analyzed using the rank-sum test. Ordinal data was analyzed using the rank-sum test of multi-samples. Analysis of influence factors for the incidence of neoplastic polyps was conducted after excluding missing data of CEA and CA19-9. Univariate analysis was conducted using the chi-square test or rank-sum test of multi-samples, and multivariate analysis was conducted using Logistic regression model. Based on Logistic regression model multivariate analysis, the nomogram prediction model was constructed using the R 3.6.0 version software.
Results:(1) Surgical treatment, pathological examination and hospitalization: of the 2 272 patients, 2 199 cases underwent laparoscopic cholecystectomy, 43 cases underwent open cholecystectomy, 28 cases underwent radical resection for gallbladder carcinoma, and 2 cases underwent laparoscopic gallbladder preservation and polypectomy. There were 1 050 of the 2 272 patients undergoing intraoperative frozen section examination. Results of pathological examination showed that 1 953 of the 2 272 patients had non-neoplastic polyps including 1 681 cases with cholesterol polyps and 272 cases with inflammatory polyps; 319 cases had neoplastic polyps including 274 with benign polyps (93 cases with adenoma, 66 cases with adenomyoma, 81 cases with adenoma-like hyperplasia, 34 cases with adenoma combined with intraepithelial neoplasia); and 45 cases had malignant polyps including 43 cases with adenocarcinoma, 1 case with adenosquamous carcinoma and 1 case with sarcomatoid carcinoma. The duration of postoperative hospital stay of 2 272 patients was 3 days(range, 1 to 27 days). (2) Follow-up and complications: of the 2 272 patients, 1 932 were followed up for 3.5 to 63.5 months, with a median follow-up time of 31.0 months. During the follow-up, 180 patients had short-term complications and 170 patients had long-term complications. (3) Comparison of clinicopathological data between patients with non-neoplastic polyps and neoplastic polyps: cases with age ≤50 years or >50 years, cases with time from first discovery of polyp to operation <1 year, 1-3 years, >3 years and ≤5 years or >5 years, CEA, CA19-9, CA125, cases with single or multiple polyps in preoperative ultrasonography examination, cases with diameter of polyps in preoperative ultrasonography examination as 1-6 mm, 7-9 mm, 10-12 mm or ≥13 mm, cases with pedicled or broad based polyp wall in preoperative ultrasonography examination, cases with polyp morphology in preoperative ultrasono-graphy examination as nodular, papillary, globular or mulberry-like, cases undergoing or not undergoing intraoperative frozen section examination, cases with diameter of polyps in postoperative pathological examination as 1-6 mm, 7-9 mm, 10-12 mm or ≥13 mm, cases with gallbladder wall thickness in postoperative pathological examination as ≤4 mm or >4 mm of the 1 953 patients with non-neoplastic polyps were 1 118, 835, 1 027, 422, 230, 274, 2.0 mg/L(range, 0.2-8.6 mg/L), 14.5 U/mL(range, 2.6-116.4 U/mL), 10.5 U/mL(range, 1.2-58.7 U/mL), 658, 1 295, 674, 741, 413, 125, 1 389, 564, 407, 1 119, 292, 135, 832, 1 121, 698, 774, 385, 96, 1 719, 234, respectively. The above indicators of the 319 patients with neoplastic polyps were 160, 159, 204, 55, 26, 34, 2.9 mg/L(range, 0.2-28.8 mg/L), 19.7 U/mL(range, 3.5-437.1 U/mL), 15.0 U/mL(range, 1.0-945.0 U/mL), 203, 116, 49, 59, 100, 111, 154, 165, 92, 153, 49, 25, 218, 101, 53, 85, 90, 91, 263, 56, respectively. There were significant differences in the above indicators between the non-neoplastic polyps and neoplastic polyps patients (x
2=5.599, Z=-3.668, -2.407, -3.023, -3.403, x
2=104.474, Z=-13.367, x
2=65.676, 12.622, 73.075, Z=-11.874, x
2=7.649, P<0.05). (4) Comparison of clinicopathological data among patients who had gallbladder polyp diameter of 7 to 9 mm, 10 to 12 mm, or ≥13 mm without cholecystolithiasis: after excluding 311 of the 2 272 patients with cholecystolithiasis, there were 706 cases with gallbladder polyp diameter of 7 to 9 mm, 459 cases with gallbladder polyp diameter of 10 to 12 mm, and 205 cases with gallbladder polyp diameter ≥13 mm, respectively. Cases with time from first discovery of polyp to operation <1 year, 1-3 years, >3 years and ≤5 years or >5 years, CEA, CA19-9, cases with single or multiple polyps in preoperative ultrasonography examination, cases with pedicled or broad based polyp wall in preoperative ultrasonography examination, cases with polyp morphology in preoperative ultrasonography examination as nodular, papillary, globular or mulberry-like, cases with echo intensity of preoperative ultrasonography examination as slightly strong, medium or weak, cases undergoing or not undergoing intraoperative frozen section examination, and cases with pathological types of polyps as non-neoplastic polyps, benign polyps or malignant polyps of the 706 patients with gallbladder polyp diameter of 7 to 9 mm were 291, 170, 107, 138, 2.2 mg/L(range, 0.5-8.6 mg/L), 21.0 U/mL(range, 2.8-116.4 U/mL), 207, 499, 620, 86, 118, 463, 75, 50, 252, 410, 44, 379, 327, 657, 49, 0, respectively. The above indicators of the 459 patients with gallbladder polyp diameter of 10 to 12 mm were 267, 85, 43, 64, 1.6 mg/L(range, 0.4-9.3 mg/L), 10.4 U/mL(range, 3.3-354.0 U/mL), 205, 254, 237, 222, 158, 223, 51, 27, 222, 213, 24, 263, 196, 373, 79, 7, respectively. The above indicators of the 205 patients with gallbladder polyp diameter ≥13 mm were 128, 38, 20, 19, 2.1 mg/L(range, 0.6-28.8 mg/L), 10.2 U/mL(range, 3.6-307.0 U/mL), 120, 85, 75, 130, 68, 97, 22, 18, 98, 95, 12, 148, 57, 113, 71, 21, respectively. There were significant differences in the above indicators among patients who had gallbladder polyp diameter of 7 to 9 mm, 10 to 12 mm, or ≥ 13 mm (x
2=46.482, 8.093, 39.504, 66.971, 277.043, 60.945, 19.672, 22.340, 197.854，P<0.05). (5) Analysis of influence factors for the incidence of neoplastic polyps in patients who had gallbladder polyp diameter of 10 to 12 mm without cholecystolithiasis: of the 459 patients who had gallbladder polyp diameter of 10 to 12 mm without cholecystolithiasis, there were 373 cases with non-neoplastic polyps, and 86 cases with neoplastic polyps, respectively. Results of univariate analysis showed that CEA, CA19-9, the number of polyps in preoperative ultrasonography examination, diameter of polyps in preoperative ultrasonography examination, polyp wall in preoperative ultrasonography examination were influence factors for the incidence of neoplastic polyps in patients who had gallbladder polyp diameter of 10 to 12 mm without cholecystolithiasis (x
2=10.342, 5.616, 20.009, Z=-4.352, x
2=6.203, P<0.05). Results of multivariate analysis showed that CEA>5.0 mg/L, CA19-9>39.0 U/mL, single polyp in preoperative ultrasonography examination, polyp diameter of 11 mm in preoperative ultrasonography examination, polyps of broad base in preoperative ultrasonography examination were independent risk factors for the incidence of neoplastic polyps in patients who had gallbladder polyp diameter of 10 to 12 mm without cholecystolithiasis (odds ratio=8.423, 0.082, 0.337, 3.694, 2.318, 95% confidence interval: 1.547-45.843, 0.015-0.443, 0.198-0.575, 1.987-6.866, 1.372-3.916, P<0.05). (6) Construction and evaluation of nomogram prediction model for neoplastic polyps of patients who had gallbladder polyp diameter of 10 to 12 mm without cholecystolithiasis: CEA, CA19-9, the number of polyps in preoperative ultrasonography examination, diameter of polyps in preoperative ultrasonography examination, polyp wall in preoperative ultrasonography examination were imported into R 3.6.0 version software to establish the nomogram prediction model for neoplastic polyps. The results showed the score for CEA>5.0 mg/L, CA19-9>39.0 U/mL, cases with single polyp in preoperative ultrasonography examination, cases with polyp diameter of 10 mm in preoperative ultrasonography examination, cases with polyp diameter of 11 mm in preoperative ultrasonography examination, cases with polyp diameter of 12 mm in preoperative ultrasonography examination, polyps of broad base in preoperative ultrasonography examination were 25, 27, 100, 0, 26, 72, 98 in the nomogram prediction model, respectively. The C-index of nomogram prediction model was 0.768. Result of nomogram prediction model showed that the incidence of tumor polyps was 0, 6% and 10% in patients with multiple and pedicled gallbladder polyps with diameter of 10, 11, 12 mm and with CEA ≤5.0 mg/L and CA19-9 ≤39.0 U/mL, the incidence of tumor polyps was 43%, 53% and 70% in patients with single and broad base gallbladder polyps with diameter of 10, 11, 12 mm. The calibration curve showed that the probability of the nomogram prediction model predicting neoplastic polyps was nearly consistent with the actual probability.
Conclusions:CEA>5.0 mg/L, CA19-9>39.0 U/mL, single polyp in preoperative ultrasonography examination, polyp diameter of 11 mm in preoperative ultrasonography examination, polyps of broad base in preoperative ultrasonography examination are independent risk factors for the incidence of neoplastic polyps in patients who had gallbladder polyp diameter of 10 to 12 mm without cholecystolithiasis. Cholecystectomy should be performed in time for patients with single and broad based gallbladder polyps with diameter of 10, 11, 12 mm.
±s表示，组间比较采用t检验。偏态分布的计量资料以M(范围)表示，组间比较采用秩和检验。等级资料采用多样本秩和检验。剔除CEA、CA19-9缺失数据后进行发生肿瘤性息肉的影响因素分析。单因素分析采用x2检验或多样本秩和检验，多因素分析采用Logistic回归模型。经Logistic回归模型多因素分析后，应用R 3.6.0 version软件构建列线图预测模型。
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